Research institute ABI: Global auto-pilot vehicle will reach

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by baitron » Thu Apr 26, 2018 6:02 pm

Recently, ABI, a market research company, said that by 2025, 8 million cars will be built for the consumer market. These cars will have the L3 or L4 automatic driving capability divided by SAE.
The L3 and L4's autopilots are capable of driving on their own in most cases, but for safety, humans are not yet completely out of the driving role. The L5 self-driving car can drive itself at any time and under any circumstances. So far, there is no L5 autopilot on the market, even if it is close to L5. CM600HA-24H
We are still far away from the self-driving car. Why did the ABI project a figure of 8 million? Lei Fengnet learned that this is actually based on the ABI's sales data for the past few years.
Until recently, L1-class driving was only available on high-end luxury cars. Now many companies like Ford, Toyota, Subaru and others are adding L1 technology to their cars, such as adaptive cruise control, blind spot detection and automatic braking. There is still a large gap between L1 and L5 levels, but letting L1's technology become widely used is the first step in self-driving cars.
The extensive use of driver assistance systems has positive implications for the development of technology. ABI predicts that the increase in these vehicles will also increase the demand for laser radar in the market. The ABI expects that in 2025, Lidar shipments will reach 3,600 units, with a market value of US$7.2 billion. In order to compete for this market, manufacturers will adopt more efficient methods for production and increase production capacity. Ultimately, the price of laser radar will be reduced, thereby reducing the price of the entire automated driving technology solution. BSM300GB120DLC
ABI research analyst Shiv Patel said. “As OEMs quickly develop and deploy various ADAS packages, the next development is the higher level of automation. The main difference between today’s ADAS technology and autopilot technology is whether or not laser radar is used. As a sensor, Lidar helps to provide reliable obstacle detection and SLAM (Instant Positioning and Map Construction)."
For L3 and L4 autopilot, companies such as Innoviz and LeddarTech have gradually revealed solid-state lidar solutions. The principle of solid-state lidar not only helps to provide more reliable images, but also meets the strict pricing requirements established by OEMs. It is estimated that by 2020, the unit price of Lidar will reach US$200 and US$750 respectively for the low-end and high-end markets. At such prices, autopilot solutions using solid-state lidars can also be an OEM's choice.
In the shared travel of one of the L5 class autopilot applications, the more expensive traditional mechanical laser radar solution is still its first choice because of the higher resolution and robustness of this type of sensor. Players aiming at self-driving taxis do not care much about the average selling price of vehicles. In the short term, their goal is to “grab the ground” and maximize their share in the smart travel market.
Under such market conditions, the first company to eliminate the driver will become a winner. Although the performance of solid-state lasers continues to improve, mechanical lidars are still considered by the eager developers as the only short-term choice as part of a widely used sensor suite.
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